IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/vision/v28y2024i1p55-66.html

Determinants of Price Multiples for Technology Firms in Developed and Emerging Markets: Variable Selection Using Shrinkage Algorithm

Author

Listed:
  • Himanshu Joshi
  • Rajneesh Chauhan

Abstract

Globally, technology firms are characterized by high level of innovation, rapid obsolescence of technologies, high investment risk and unpredictability of future cash flows. All these make conventional discounted cash flow valuation methods inadequate for valuation of technology firms. This study aims to develop sector regression models for relative valuation of technology firms by evaluating firm-level determinants of price multiples. Results suggest that price to book is the most appropriate multiple for valuing developed market technological firms, whereas price to sales is the most apt multiple for emerging market firms. Variable selection by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) validates that growth rate, research intensity and cash holding influence value of price multiples for both developed market and emerging market firms. Similarly, smaller firms tend to generate higher value of the multiples under both categories. Firms’ ESG practices is an important determinant of price multiples for developed market firms, however, it does not influence the multiples’ value for emerging market firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Himanshu Joshi & Rajneesh Chauhan, 2024. "Determinants of Price Multiples for Technology Firms in Developed and Emerging Markets: Variable Selection Using Shrinkage Algorithm," Vision, , vol. 28(1), pages 55-66, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:vision:v:28:y:2024:i:1:p:55-66
    DOI: 10.1177/09722629211023011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/09722629211023011
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/09722629211023011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shahed Imam & Richard Barker & Colin Clubb, 2008. "The Use of Valuation Models by UK Investment Analysts," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 503-535.
    2. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    3. Richard G. Barker, 1999. "Survey and Market‐based Evidence of Industry‐dependence in Analysts’ Preferences Between the Dividend Yield and Price‐earnings Ratio Valuation Models," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3‐4), pages 393-418, April.
    4. Alford, Aw, 1992. "The Effect Of The Set Of Comparable Firms On The Accuracy Of The Price Earnings Valuation Method," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 94-108.
    5. Richard G. Barker, 1999. "Survey and Market-based Evidence of Industry-dependence in Analysts' Preferences Between the Dividend Yield and Price-earnings Ratio Valuation Models," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3-4), pages 393-418.
    6. James A. Ohlson & Beate E. Juettner-Nauroth, 2005. "Expected EPS and EPS Growth as Determinantsof Value," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 349-365, September.
    7. Ying Huang & Chia-Hui Tsai & Carl R. Chen, 2007. "Expected P/E, Residual P/E, and Stock Return Reversal: Time-Varying Fundamentals or Investor Overreaction?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 6(1), pages 11-28, April.
    8. Emanuel Bagna & Enrico Cotta Ramusino, 2017. "Market Multiples and the Valuation of Cyclical Companies," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(12), pages 246-266, December.
    9. Perry Sadorsky, 2003. "The macroeconomic determinants of technology stock price volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(2), pages 191-205.
    10. Sanjay Sehgal & Asheesh Pandey, 2010. "Equity Valuation Using Price Multiples: Evidence from India," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 6(1), pages 89-108.
    11. Sanjay Sehgal & Asheesh Pandey, 2010. "Equity Valuation Using Price Multiples: A Comparative Study for BRICKS," Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(1), pages 6891-6891, December.
    12. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2007. "Is Cash Flow King in Valuations?," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 63(2), pages 56-68, March.
    13. Sadorsky, Perry, 2003. "The macroeconomic determinants of technology stock price volatility," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 191-205.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nowak, Arne & Fahling, Ernst, 2015. "The Influence of R&D Intensity on the Performance and Application of Fundamental and Relative Equity Valuation Methods – Part I," ISM Research Journal, International School of Management (ISM), Dortmund, vol. 2(1), pages 19-35.
    2. Gus Franco & Ole-Kristian Hope & Stephannie Larocque, 2015. "Analysts’ choice of peer companies," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 82-109, March.
    3. Ganapathy G Gangadharan & N. Suresh, 2022. "Interrogation of A Bubble in the Indian Market," Papers 2207.13444, arXiv.org.
    4. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    5. Yuan Yin & Ken Peasnell & Herbert G. Hunt, 2018. "How do sell-side analysts obtain price-earnings multiples to value firms?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 108-135, January.
    6. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    7. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    8. Sanjay Sehgal & Asheesh Pandey, 2010. "Equity Valuation Using Price Multiples: A Comparative Study for BRICKS," Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(1), pages 6891-6891, December.
    9. Stephannie Larocque, 2013. "Analysts’ earnings forecast errors and cost of equity capital estimates," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 135-166, March.
    10. Alpa Dhanani, 2005. "Corporate Dividend Policy: The Views of British Financial Managers," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7‐8), pages 1625-1672, September.
    11. He, Chao & Zhou, Zhongsheng & Jian, Fangfang & Qiu, Yuhan, 2025. "Robots and cost of equity: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PB).
    12. WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    13. Brho, Mazen & Jazairy, Amer & Glassburner, Aaron V., 2025. "The finance of cybersecurity: Quantitative modeling of investment decisions and net present value," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    14. Andreou, Christoforos K. & Lambertides, Neophytos & Panayides, Photis M., 2021. "Distress risk anomaly and misvaluation," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).
    15. Stephanie A. Sikes & Robert E. Verrecchia, 2015. "Dividend tax capitalization and liquidity," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1334-1372, December.
    16. Xu, Weidong & Zhu, Danyu & Gao, Xin & Xing, Lu & Li, Donghui, 2025. "The price of realized extreme climate events in the implied cost of equity capital: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    17. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.
    18. Partha Mohanram & Dan Gode, 2013. "Removing predictable analyst forecast errors to improve implied cost of equity estimates," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 443-478, June.
    19. Grobys, Klaus, 2025. "Is energy risk scale Invariant? evidence from crude oil futures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    20. Eltayyeb Al-Fakir AI Rabab’a & Syed Shams & Afzalur Rashid, 2026. "Carbon risk and cost of equity: the role of country-level governance," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 30(1), pages 261-303, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:vision:v:28:y:2024:i:1:p:55-66. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.