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A Bayesian Belief Network method for bridge deterioration detection

Author

Listed:
  • Matteo Vagnoli
  • Rasa Remenyte-Prescott
  • John Andrews

Abstract

Bridges are one of the most important assets of transportation networks. A closure of a bridge can increase the vulnerability of the geographic area served by such networks, as it reduces the number of available routes. Condition monitoring and deterioration detection methods can be used to monitor the health state of a bridge and enable detection of early signs of deterioration. In this paper, a novel Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) methodology for bridge deterioration detection is proposed. A method to build a BBN structure and to define the Conditional Probability Tables (CPTs) is presented first. Then evidence of the bridge behaviour (such as bridge displacement or acceleration due to traffic) is used as an input to the BBN model, the probability of the health state of whole bridge and its elements is updated and the levels of deterioration are detected. The methodology is illustrated using a Finite Element Model (FEM) of a steel truss bridge, and for an in-field post-tensioned concrete bridge.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Vagnoli & Rasa Remenyte-Prescott & John Andrews, 2021. "A Bayesian Belief Network method for bridge deterioration detection," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 235(3), pages 338-355, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:235:y:2021:i:3:p:338-355
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X20979225
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