Probabilistic analysis of tunnel face stability considering spatially variable undrained shear strength with linearly increasing mean trend

The inherent spatial variability of soil properties has been considered as one of the main sources of uncertainties in geotechnical problems. The need for probabilistic analysis of the tunnel face stability that takes into account the variability of soil properties has been acknowledged. This article employed a probabilistic-based method, called random finite difference method, for evaluating the stability of tunnel face under the influence of the variability of undrained shear strength in clays. The two-dimensional spatial variation in soil undrained shear strength is modeled by random fields, which are discretized by the Covariance Matrix Decomposition method. The procedure for random finite difference method is presented. An illustrative example is employed to investigate the effect of soil variability. Particular attention has been paid to the situation that undrained shear strength increases with depth. The results demonstrate that ignoring the variability of undrained shear strength will result in overestimates of the tunnel face stability if the support pressure of the tunnel face exceeds the deterministic value, especially for higher coefficient of variation of soil undrained shear strength. Minor differences in the failure mechanism are observed in comparison to the deterministic case, considering only the global failure of the tunnel face is observed. In addition, ignoring the increase of undrained shear strength with depth will lead to conservative designs. The random finite difference method can provide a practical tool for evaluating the stability of a tunnel face in variable soils.