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Non-parametric prediction of unobserved failure modes

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  • F. P. A. Coolen

Abstract

This paper presents the application of a recently developed non-parametric predictive inferential approach for multinomial data to the problem of prediction of occurrence of new failure modes. These inferences are in terms of lower and upper probabilities for the next observation. The lower probability of occurrence of a new failure mode is zero in all cases, as the data never suggest strongly that there have to be further failure modes. The main interest is in the upper probability that the next observed failure is caused by a new failure mode.

Suggested Citation

  • F. P. A. Coolen, 2007. "Non-parametric prediction of unobserved failure modes," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 221(3), pages 207-216, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:221:y:2007:i:3:p:207-216
    DOI: 10.1243/1748006XJRR61
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