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At a Glance … The World Economy

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Abstract

Our baseline forecast is for global growth of 3.7 per cent in 2012. Growth will accelerate to 4 per cent in 2013. These forecasts are little changed from our previous forecast. As in our previous forecast, we assume a delayed but ultimately successful resolution of the Euro Area crisis. Nevertheless, we expect a mild recession in the Euro Area as a whole, as well as in the UK. Downside risks to the Euro Area remain high. Fiscal austerity will weigh on growth in the short term, while medium to long term structural problems remain unresolved. We forecast growth of about 2 per cent in the US this year, while China and India, although slowing, will continue to drive world growth.

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  • N/A, 2012. "At a Glance … The World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 220(1), pages 2-2, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:niesru:v:220:y:2012:i:1:p:f2-f2
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    Cited by:

    1. Mogens Dilling-Hansen & Valdemar Smith, 2015. "R&D, export and productivity in business services firms: testing the Bustos model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(16), pages 1309-1314, November.
    2. Mogens Dilling-Hansen & Valdemar Smith, 2014. "R&D, export and productivity: testing the Bustos model on Danish data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(11), pages 733-737, July.

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