IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/joupea/v62y2025i5p1498-1513.html

Democratic elections and anti-immigration attitudes

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel Carreras

    (Department of Political Science, University of California, Riverside, USA)

  • Sofia Vera

    (Department of Political Science, University of Kansas, USA)

  • Giancarlo Visconti

    (Department of Government and Politics, University of Maryland, USA)

Abstract

Democratic elections are ritualized and institutionalized processes that allow for the peaceful resolution of political disagreements and conflicts. However, electoral processes also serve as focal points in which right-wing political parties can adopt a negative (or xenophobic) discourse against immigrants and other minority groups in order to obtain political benefits (i.e. more electoral support). Left-wing parties are often better off abandoning the immigration issue and focusing on other policy areas during the campaign. As a result, anti-immigration narratives become more prominent during periods of election salience. In this article, we take advantage of the timing of the cross-national post-election surveys included in the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) to explore the effects of election salience on individuals’ anti-immigration attitudes. We find that immigration attitudes become more polarized just after an election has taken place. On the one hand, right-wing respondents exhibit more negative attitudes toward immigrants when the election is salient, but those negative views decrease as we move away from the election. On the other hand, left-wing respondents express lower levels of xenophobia immediately after the election, but their immigration views become more negative as time since the election increases. Surprisingly, these effects are only detectable in contexts where the immigration issue is less salient.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Carreras & Sofia Vera & Giancarlo Visconti, 2025. "Democratic elections and anti-immigration attitudes," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1498-1513, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:joupea:v:62:y:2025:i:5:p:1498-1513
    DOI: 10.1177/00223433251352660
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00223433251352660
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/00223433251352660?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tim Bale & Christoffer Green‐Pedersen & André Krouwel & Kurt Richard Luther & Nick Sitter, 2010. "If You Can't Beat Them, Join Them? Explaining Social Democratic Responses to the Challenge from the Populist Radical Right in Western Europe," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 58(3), pages 410-426, June.
    2. Abou-Chadi, Tarik, 2016. "Niche Party Success and Mainstream Party Policy Shifts – How Green and Radical Right Parties Differ in Their Impact," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(2), pages 417-436, April.
    3. Kathleen Klaus & Megan Turnbull, 2025. "Democracy dismissed: When leaders and citizens choose election violence," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1447-1462, September.
    4. Sarah Birch & Ursula Daxecker & Kristine Höglund, 2020. "Electoral violence: An introduction," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(1), pages 3-14, January.
    5. Han, Kyung Joon, 2020. "Beclouding Party Position as an Electoral Strategy: Voter Polarization, Issue Priority and Position Blurring," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(2), pages 653-675, April.
    6. Benn Eifert & Edward Miguel & Daniel N. Posner, 2010. "Political Competition and Ethnic Identification in Africa," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(2), pages 494-510, April.
    7. Lauren Ratliff Santoro & Elias Assaf & Robert M Bond & Skyler J Cranmer & Eloise E Kaizar & David J Sivakoff, 2021. "Exploring the direct and indirect effects of elite influence on public opinion," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-15, November.
    8. Abby Córdova & Lucía Tiscornia, 2025. "Law enforcement at the margin of the law: Information provision and support for militarization in Mexico," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1428-1446, September.
    9. Hangartner, Dominik & Dinas, Elias & Marbach, Moritz & Matakos, Konstantinos & Xefteris, Dimitrios, 2019. "Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Make Natives More Hostile?," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 113(2), pages 442-455, May.
    10. Newman, Benjamin & Merolla, Jennifer L. & Shah, Sono & Lemi, Danielle Casarez & Collingwood, Loren & Ramakrishnan, S. Karthick, 2021. "The Trump Effect: An Experimental Investigation of the Emboldening Effect of Racially Inflammatory Elite Communication," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(3), pages 1138-1159, July.
    11. Charles S. Taber & Milton Lodge, 2006. "Motivated Skepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(3), pages 755-769, July.
    12. Hatton, Timothy J., 2021. "Public opinion on immigration in Europe: Preference and salience," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    13. Laaker, Dillon, 2024. "Economic Shocks and the Development of Immigration Attitudes," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(1), pages 220-240, January.
    14. Singh, Shane P. & Thornton, Judd R., 2019. "Elections Activate Partisanship across Countries," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 113(1), pages 248-253, February.
    15. Krzysztof Krakowski & Juan S Morales, 2025. "Does political violence backfire in mature democracies? Evidence from the Capitol insurrection in the USA," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1479-1497, September.
    16. Paul Freedman & Michael Franz & Kenneth Goldstein, 2004. "Campaign Advertising and Democratic Citizenship," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(4), pages 723-741, October.
    17. Leonie Huddy & Stanley Feldman & Charles Taber & Gallya Lahav, 2005. "Threat, Anxiety, and Support of Antiterrorism Policies," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(3), pages 593-608, July.
    18. Kristin M Bakke & Marianne Dahl & Kit Rickard, 2025. "Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1376-1392, September.
    19. Zobel, Malisa & Lehmann, Pola, 2018. "Positions and saliency of immigration in party manifestos: A novel dataset using crowd coding," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1056-1083.
    20. Tim Bale & Christoffer Green-Pedersen & André Krouwel & Kurt Richard Luther & Nick Sitter, 2010. "If You Can't Beat Them, Join Them? Explaining Social Democratic Responses to the Challenge from the Populist Radical Right in Western Europe," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 58, pages 410-426, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrés F Rivera & Juliana Tappe Ortiz & Carlo Koos, 2025. "Gender in elections: The consequences of killing women activists," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1565-1580, September.
    2. Andrea Ruggeri & Ursula Daxecker & Neeraj Prasad, 2025. "Political violence in democracies: An Introduction," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1363-1375, September.
    3. Edoardo Alberto Viganò & Bruno Della Sala & Stefan Stojkovic & Nils-Christian Bormann, 2025. "Political violence and anti-system voting in interwar Italy," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1581-1596, September.
    4. Marie-Therese Meye, 2025. "Why some districts march more: Protest mobilization in the wake of US representatives’ election denial," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1463-1478, September.
    5. Abby Córdova & Lucía Tiscornia, 2025. "Law enforcement at the margin of the law: Information provision and support for militarization in Mexico," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1428-1446, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andrea Ruggeri & Ursula Daxecker & Neeraj Prasad, 2025. "Political violence in democracies: An Introduction," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1363-1375, September.
    2. Andres D Uribe, 2025. "Party competition and the limits of electoral coercion: Evidence from Colombia," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1531-1547, September.
    3. Krause, Werner & Giebler, Heiko, 2020. "Shifting Welfare Policy Positions: The Impact of Radical Right Populist Party Success Beyond Migration Politics," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 56(3), pages 331-348.
    4. Abou-Chadi, Tarik & Krause, Werner, 2020. "The Causal Effect of Radical Right Success on Mainstream Parties’ Policy Positions: A Regression Discontinuity Approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 50(3), pages 829-847.
    5. Danilo Di Mauro & Vincenzo Memoli, 2021. "The Role of Public Opinion in EU Integration: Assessing the Relationship between Elites and the Public during the Refugee Crisis," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(5), pages 1303-1321, September.
    6. Krzysztof Krakowski & Juan S Morales, 2025. "Does political violence backfire in mature democracies? Evidence from the Capitol insurrection in the USA," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1479-1497, September.
    7. Gessler, Theresa & Hunger, Sophia, 2022. "How the refugee crisis and radical right parties shape party competition on immigration," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 10(3), pages 524-544.
    8. Sumit S. Deole & Yue Huang, 2024. "Suffering and prejudice: do negative emotions predict immigration concerns?," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 1-39, June.
    9. Zobel, Malisa & Lehmann, Pola, 2018. "Positions and saliency of immigration in party manifestos: A novel dataset using crowd coding," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1056-1083.
    10. Samuel Merrill & Bernard Grofman, 2019. "What are the effects of entry of new extremist parties on the policy platforms of mainstream parties?," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 31(3), pages 453-473, July.
    11. Joel Lansing Reed, 2026. "Utility and Democracy in Political Campaign Advertising: Toward a Rule-Utilitarian Ethic for Political Marketing and the Ethics of Meddling in the Other Party’s Primary," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 203(3), pages 611-630, January.
    12. Kathleen Klaus & Megan Turnbull, 2025. "Democracy dismissed: When leaders and citizens choose election violence," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(5), pages 1447-1462, September.
    13. G. Lappas & A. Triantafillidou & P. Yannas, 2019. "Members of European Parliament (MEPs) on Social Media: Understanding the Underlying Mechanisms of Social Media Adoption and Popularity," The Review of Socionetwork Strategies, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 55-77, June.
    14. Caroline Le Pennec & Vincent Pons, 2023. "How do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multicountry Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 703-767.
    15. Ennser-Jedenastik, Laurenz & Köppl-Turyna, Monika, 2019. "Cushion or catalyst? How welfare state generosity moderates the impact of economic vulnerability on populist radical right support," Working Papers 16, Agenda Austria.
    16. Benjamin Moffitt, 2017. "Liberal Illiberalism? The Reshaping of the Contemporary Populist Radical Right in Northern Europe," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 5(4), pages 112-122.
    17. Florio, Erminia, 2022. "Contact vs. information: What shapes attitudes towards immigration? Evidence from an experiment in schools," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    18. Carl Müller-Crepon, 2022. "Local ethno-political polarization and election violence in majoritarian vs. proportional systems," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(2), pages 242-258, March.
    19. Maurits Meijers & Christian Rauh, 2016. "Has Eurosceptic Mobilization Become More Contagious? Comparing the 2009 and 2014 EP Election Campaigns in The Netherlands and France," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(1), pages 83-103.
    20. Maurits Meijers & Christian Rauh, 2016. "Has Eurosceptic Mobilization Become More Contagious? Comparing the 2009 and 2014 EP Election Campaigns in The Netherlands and France," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(1), pages 83-103.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:joupea:v:62:y:2025:i:5:p:1498-1513. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.prio.no/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.