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Population Resettlement in War

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  • Yuri M. Zhukov

Abstract

Why do combatants intentionally uproot civilians? The forcible relocation of families and communities to concentration camps, “protected villages,†and other special settlements is a regular feature of irregular war, occurring in almost a third of all counterinsurgency campaigns since 1816. Despite the historical regularity of these practices, most research has focused on individual decisions to flee, rather than the brute-force resettlement of civilians by combatants. Using a dynamic model of popular support and new micro-level data from Soviet secret police archives, I show that civilian resettlement is not simply a by-product of war but is a rational response to informational asymmetry. Combatants who cannot identify and selectively punish their opponents face incentives to control the population rather than earn its support. For strong governments with limited coercive leverage, civilian resettlement offers a way to reduce rebel activity without having to win hearts and minds.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuri M. Zhukov, 2015. "Population Resettlement in War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 59(7), pages 1155-1185, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:59:y:2015:i:7:p:1155-1185
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    Cited by:

    1. Abbey Steele, 2018. "IDP resettlement and collective targeting during civil wars," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 55(6), pages 810-824, November.
    2. Benjamin O Fordham, 2020. "History and quantitative conflict research: A case for limiting the historical scope of our theoretical arguments," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 37(1), pages 3-15, January.
    3. Yuri M. Zhukov, 2014. "Theory of Indiscriminate Violence," Working Paper 365551, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    4. Miguel R. Rueda, 2017. "Popular Support, Violence, and Territorial Control in Civil War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(8), pages 1626-1652, September.
    5. Nils Hägerdal, 2019. "Ethnic Cleansing and the Politics of Restraint: Violence and Coexistence in the Lebanese Civil War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(1), pages 59-84, January.

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