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Declining Fertility: Implications for Regional Education Planning

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Manuel Pavía-Miralles
  • Luis Eduardo Vila-Lladosa
  • Bernardi Cabrer-Borrás

    (Department of Economic Analysis, Faculty of Economics, University of Valencia 46022 Valencia, Spain)

Abstract

The most important asset of any organisation or country is its reserve of human resource. The capacity of society to understand and successfully adapt to new situations is highly related to the levels of training and education of its individual members. The education system, therefore, is one of the main foundations of any society's future. Over the last decade, Spain and the Valencia region, in particular, have experienced precipitous drops in fertility that will inevitably reduce school enrolments. In this paper we quantify the magnitude of the reductions and, after some analysis, lay out the potential consequences for the regional education system, and for society as a whole.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Manuel Pavía-Miralles & Luis Eduardo Vila-Lladosa & Bernardi Cabrer-Borrás, 2003. "Declining Fertility: Implications for Regional Education Planning," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 35(1), pages 59-73, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:59-73
    DOI: 10.1068/a3534
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brist, Lonnie E & Caplan, Arthur J, 1999. "More Evidence on the Role of Secondary Education in the Development of Lower-Income Countries: Wishful Thinking or Useful Knowledge?," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 48(1), pages 155-175, October.
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