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Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970

Author

Listed:
  • A R Pickles

    (Department of Geography, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60201, USA)

  • R B Davies

    (Department of Town Planning, University of Wales Institute of Science and Technology, Cardiff CF1 3NU, Wales)

  • R Crouchley

    (Department of Sociology, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 5XH, England)

Abstract

A two-state Markov model of individual voting transitions is developed which allows voters to differ with respect to their voting propensities and loyalties. Such a model allows the estimation of various process parameters without the specification errors common in other models. Additional parameters are introduced to allow for the effects of a third party, considerably extending the scope of application. The model is applied to the electoral voting histories for 1964, 1966, and 1970 of 671 individuals from sixty-seven English constituencies.

Suggested Citation

  • A R Pickles & R B Davies & R Crouchley, 1984. "Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 16(9), pages 1237-1247, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:16:y:1984:i:9:p:1237-1247
    DOI: 10.1068/a161237
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R J Johnston & A M Hay, 1982. "On the Parameters of Uniform Swing in Single-Member Constituency Electoral Systems," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(1), pages 61-74, January.
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