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Rural and Urban Population Changes and the Stages of Economic Development: A Unified Approach

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  • T Miyao

    (Department of Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089)

Abstract

A model is presented which can yield a dynamic path of economic development from very early stages through more advanced stages in an attempt to shed light on what Alonso called the “five bell-shapes†within a unified framework. The model is able to explain not only the occurrence of a downturn in the rural population after the initial phase of population growth both in rural and urban areas, but also the delayed occurrence of such a downturn in many present-day developing countries. The author then focuses the later stages of economic development and explains two alternative courses of urbanization, namely, the reversal process and the continual-growth process, as special cases of the general model; which of the courses occurs depends on the value of the elasticity of urban agglomeration-economies.

Suggested Citation

  • T Miyao, 1983. "Rural and Urban Population Changes and the Stages of Economic Development: A Unified Approach," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 15(9), pages 1161-1174, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:15:y:1983:i:9:p:1161-1174
    DOI: 10.1068/a151161
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