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How Might North American Oil and Gas Markets Have Performed with a Free Trade Agreement in 1970?

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  • G. Campbell Watkins
  • Leonard Waverman

Abstract

Deregulation on both sides of the U.S.-Canadian border has made certain aspects of trade agreements largely superfluous in the near term. It is over the longer term that the impact of the NAFTA will become apparent. To grapple with this issue, simulations are attempted of oil and gas trade between the United States and Canada as if the NAFTA had been in place before the first oil price shock of 1973. The simulations suggest substantial additional exports of Canadian oil and gas would have enabled the United States to back out volumes of OPEC oil during the critical years of the late 1970s and early 1980s. This would have served to dampen world oil markets during the years of OPEC ascendency—not dramatically, but not negligibly either. By promoting closer integration of energy markets, the NAFTA should lead to more cohesive North American responses to any future world oil shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Campbell Watkins & Leonard Waverman, 1993. "How Might North American Oil and Gas Markets Have Performed with a Free Trade Agreement in 1970?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 14(3), pages 119-152, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:14:y:1993:i:3:p:119-152
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol14-No3-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andre Plourde, 1993. "Natural Gas Trade in North America: Building up to the NAFTA," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 51-74.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jayadevappa, Ravishankar & Chhatre, Sumedha, 2000. "International trade and environmental quality: a survey," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 175-194, February.
    2. Mingye Gao & Zhen Wang & Qianyu Wu & Yang Yang, 2013. "Natural Gas Pricing Mechanism Reform and its Impacts on Future Energy Options in China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(7-8), pages 1209-1227, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil and Gas; North America; NAFTA; Historical trade flows; energy policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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