IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/ecdequ/v39y2025i2p111-123.html

The Clean Air Act and Local Employment Base Sensitivity

Author

Listed:
  • Douglas Carr
  • Wenli Yan

Abstract

The Clean Air Act, an important part of U.S. federal environmental regulations, is designed to improve air quality in targeted localities. However, its implementation has unexpected impacts on local industrial structure. The authors identify the effect of nonattainment regulations under the Clean Air Act on the sensitivity of county employment to changes in the national economy, providing guidance for local economic development in counties affected by these regulations. The authors use nationwide, county-level, longitudinal data from 1979 to 2019 and adopt a difference-in-differences approach and implement Coarsened Exact Matching to make the treatment and control groups approximate a fully blocked experiment. The findings indicate that nonattainment for ground-level ozone and sulfur dioxide results in decreased employment sensitivity. This effect is seen immediately for ground-level ozone nonattainment, while it is not seen until 25 years for sulfur dioxide nonattainment. Furthermore, these employment effects persist after attainment status has been regained.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Carr & Wenli Yan, 2025. "The Clean Air Act and Local Employment Base Sensitivity," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 39(2), pages 111-123, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:ecdequ:v:39:y:2025:i:2:p:111-123
    DOI: 10.1177/08912424241291974
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/08912424241291974
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/08912424241291974?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:rre:publsh:v:39:y:2009:i:3:p:239-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. John A. List & W. Warren McHone & Daniel L. Millimet, 2003. "Effects of air quality regulation on the destination choice of relocating plants," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 55(4), pages 657-678, October.
    3. Douglas Carr & Wenli Yan, 2012. "Federal Environmental Policy and Local Industrial Diversification: The Case of the Clean Air Act," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 639-649, July.
    4. Henderson, J Vernon, 1996. "Effects of Air Quality Regulation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(4), pages 789-813, September.
    5. Smith, Stephen M. & Gibson, Cosette M., 1988. "Industrial Diversification In Nonmetropolitan Counties And Its Effect On Economic Stability," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(2), pages 1-9, December.
    6. John R. Kort, 1981. "Regional Economic Instability and Industrial Diversification in the U.S," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 57(4), pages 596-608.
    7. John E. Wagner & Steven C. Deller, 1998. "Measuring the Effects of Economic Diversity on Growth and Stability," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 74(4), pages 541-556.
    8. Randy Becker & Vernon Henderson, 2000. "Effects of Air Quality Regulations on Polluting Industries," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(2), pages 379-421, April.
    9. Becker, Randy A. & Pasurka, Carl & Shadbegian, Ronald J., 2013. "Do environmental regulations disproportionately affect small businesses? Evidence from the Pollution Abatement Costs and Expenditures survey," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 523-538.
    10. H.L. Brewer & Ronald L. Moomaw, 1985. "A Note on Population Size, Industrial Diversification, and Regional Economic Instability," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 22(4), pages 349-354, August.
    11. W. Reed Walker, 2013. "The Transitional Costs of Sectoral Reallocation: Evidence From the Clean Air Act and the Workforce," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(4), pages 1787-1835.
    12. Becker, Randy A., 2011. "Local environmental regulation and plant-level productivity," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(12), pages 2516-2522.
    13. Joseph E. Aldy & Maximilian Auffhammer & Maureen Cropper & Arthur Fraas & Richard Morgenstern, 2022. "Looking Back at 50 Years of the Clean Air Act," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(1), pages 179-232, March.
    14. O. Ashton Morgan & Simon Condliffe, 2009. "Spatial Heterogeneity in Environmental Regulation Enforcement and the Firm Location Decision among U.S. Counties," Working Papers 09-12, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    15. Becker, Randy A., 2011. "Local environmental regulation and plant-level productivity," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(12), pages 2516-2522.
    16. King, Gary & Nielsen, Richard, 2019. "Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(4), pages 435-454, October.
    17. Levinson, Arik, 1996. "Environmental regulations and manufacturers' location choices: Evidence from the Census of Manufactures," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1-2), pages 5-29, October.
    18. John A. List & W. Warren McHone, 2000. "Measuring the effects of air quality regulations on "dirty" firm births: Evidence from the neo- and mature-regulatory periods," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, vol. 79(2), pages 177-190.
    19. Simon Condliffe & O. Ashton Morgan, 2009. "The effects of air quality regulations on the location decisions of pollution-intensive manufacturing plants," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 83-93, August.
    20. Becker, Randy A. & Pasurka, Carl & Shadbegian, Ronald J., 2013. "Do environmental regulations disproportionately affect small businesses? Evidence from the Pollution Abatement Costs and Expenditures survey," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 523-538.
    21. Dean, Thomas J. & Brown, Robert L. & Stango, Victor, 2000. "Environmental Regulation as a Barrier to the Formation of Small Manufacturing Establishments: A Longitudinal Examination," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 56-75, July.
    22. Ann E. Ferris & Ronald J. Shadbegian & Ann Wolverton, 2014. "The Effect of Environmental Regulation on Power Sector Employment: Phase I of the Title IV SO2 Trading Program," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(4), pages 521-553.
    23. Glenn E. McLaughlin, 1930. "Industrial Diversification in American Cities," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 45(1), pages 131-149.
    24. W. Reed Walker, 2011. "Environmental Regulation and Labor Reallocation: Evidence from the Clean Air Act," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 442-447, May.
    25. Attaran, Mohsen, 1986. "Industrial Diversity and Economic Performance in U.S. Areas," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 20(2), pages 44-54, July.
    26. Bruce D. Wundt, 1992. "Reevaluating Alternative Measures Of Industrial Diversity As Indicators Of Regional Cyclical Variations," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 22(1), pages 59-73, Summer.
    27. Hastie, K. Larry, 1972. "Determinants of Municipal Bond Yields," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(3), pages 1729-1748, June.
    28. Michael Greenstone, 2002. "The Impacts of Environmental Regulations on Industrial Activity: Evidence from the 1970 and 1977 Clean Air Act Amendments and the Census of Manufactures," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(6), pages 1175-1219, December.
    29. E. Mark Curtis, 2018. "Who Loses under Cap-and-Trade Programs? The Labor Market Effects of the NOx Budget Trading Program," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(1), pages 151-166, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wenli Yan & Douglas A. Carr, 2013. "Federal Environmental Regulation Impacts on Local Economic Growth and Stability," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 27(3), pages 179-192, August.
    2. Ferris, Ann & Garbaccio, Richard & Marten, Alex & Wolverton, Ann, 2017. "The Impacts of Environmental Regulation on the U.S. Economy," National Center for Environmental Economics-NCEE Working Papers 280936, United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
    3. Cui, Jingbo & Moschini, GianCarlo, 2020. "Firm internal network, environmental regulation, and plant death," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    4. Sheriff, Glenn & Ferris, Ann E. & Shadbegian, Ron, 2015. "How did air quality standards affect employment at U.S. power plants? The importance of stringency, geography, and timing," National Center for Environmental Economics-NCEE Working Papers 312460, United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
    5. Zhang, Yichuan & Shen, Jiezhong & Zhu, Tianyun, 2025. "Unintended negative impact of environmental regulation on public safety: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PB).
    6. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3qoljitavv93bptuhfaq9drocb is not listed on IDEAS
    7. J. C. Dissart, 2003. "Regional Economic Diversity and Regional Economic Stability: Research Results and Agenda," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(4), pages 423-446, October.
    8. Olivier Deschenes, 2018. "Environmental regulations and labor markets," World of Labour, LISER, pages 1-22, November.
    9. Guan, Jin & He, Dongwei & Zhu, Qigui, 2022. "More incentive, less pollution: The influence of official appraisal system reform on environmental enforcement," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Campbell, Jason & Levkoff, Steven, 2025. "Assessing the productivity and abatement effects of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendment," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1).
    11. Liao, Jiaqi & Zhang, Ning, 2024. "Environmental regulation and manufacturing employment: Evidence from China's Eleventh Five-Year Plan," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    12. Consoli, Davide & Marin, Giovanni & Marzucchi, Alberto & Vona, Francesco, 2016. "Do green jobs differ from non-green jobs in terms of skills and human capital?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(5), pages 1046-1060.
    13. Zhang, Guanglai & Zhang, Ning, 2024. "Environmental regulation and worker earnings: Evidence from city-level air quality standards in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    14. Saheum Hong & Yu Xiao, 2016. "The Influence of Multiple Specializations on Economic Performance in U.S. Metropolitan Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, September.
    15. E. Mark Curtis, 2014. "Who Loses Under Power Plant Cap-and-Trade Programs?," NBER Working Papers 20808, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Liu, Mengdi & Tan, Ruipeng & Zhang, Bing, 2021. "The costs of “blue sky”: Environmental regulation, technology upgrading, and labor demand in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    17. Li, Shuo & Wang, Min, 2025. "Environmental regulation and firms’ extensive margin decisions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    18. Dongmin Kong & Ni Qin, 2021. "Does Environmental Regulation Shape Entrepreneurship?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(1), pages 169-196, September.
    19. Zhu, Junming & Ruth, Matthias, 2015. "Relocation or reallocation: Impacts of differentiated energy saving regulation on manufacturing industries in China," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 119-133.
    20. Joseph E. Aldy & Maximilian Auffhammer & Maureen Cropper & Arthur Fraas & Richard Morgenstern, 2022. "Looking Back at 50 Years of the Clean Air Act," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(1), pages 179-232, March.
    21. Mengdi Liu & Bing Zhang & Qiang Geng, 2018. "Corporate pollution control strategies and labor demand: evidence from China’s manufacturing sector," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 298-326, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:ecdequ:v:39:y:2025:i:2:p:111-123. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.