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Life after exile: Introducing a new dataset on post-exile fate

Author

Listed:
  • Kaoru Hidaka

    (Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, 13121University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan)

  • Masanori Kubota

    (164363Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University, 1-31 Machikaneyama, Toyonaka, Osaka, Japan)

  • Taku Yukawa

    (Graduate School of Arts and Science, 13143The University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan)

Abstract

Recent research in international relations and comparative politics has highlighted the post-tenure fate of leaders, particularly exile. Scholars view exile either as a punishment or a “golden parachute†offering a safe exit with potential future power. To assess which perspective aligns with reality, we developed a dataset tracking exiled leaders’ fates across three periods: during exile, upon returning home, and beyond. Our findings reveal significant variations, but the majority of exiled leaders eventually return home and resume power. This suggests a need to reconsider research that groups exile with punishments like imprisonment or execution.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaoru Hidaka & Masanori Kubota & Taku Yukawa, 2025. "Life after exile: Introducing a new dataset on post-exile fate," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 42(6), pages 726-741, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:42:y:2025:i:6:p:726-741
    DOI: 10.1177/07388942241292553
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wright, Joseph & Escribà-Folch, Abel, 2012. "Authoritarian Institutions and Regime Survival: Transitions to Democracy and Subsequent Autocracy," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(2), pages 283-309, April.
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