Analysis of the Romanian Capital Market in the Context of Market Globalization
The analysis from stock exchange perspective of the period 2007-2012 emphasizes the apparent correlation of global markets, revealed by the movements in the same directions of the main mature markets. Following the contagion effect, the turbulences experienced by mature markets transferred on the emergent ones too, amongst them being Romania. The crisis on the financial markets has had important consequences on the stock exchange industry of Romania, where the weight of stock exchange capitalization in the Gross Domestic Product reduced by more than 60 percents in 2008. The extreme volatility manifested during the years following the subprime crisis, especially after 2009, favored the achievement of positive efficiency that easily surpassed 100%, but without, at the level of main indexes, the depreciation suffered in 2008 to be recovered. Financial crisis affected the consolidation process of the internal capital market, situation emphasized also by the extreme volatility, leading to efficiency of main stock exchange indexes, which are not statistically correlated in a significant manner to the efficiencz recorded on mature markets. From the analysis of the efficiency of tha BET index, the efficiencies of the indexes DJIA, S&P 500 and EUROSTOXX 50, a relative correlation of the efficiencies of BET and EUROSTOXX is observed, but instead the links to the American market being irrelevant.
Volume (Year): 60 (2012)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
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