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About stock markets predictability

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  • Hicham Benjelloun

Abstract

We argue that the financial markets have a predetermined outcome. They behave deterministically but appear to follow random patterns. Stock prices have nothing to do with future expectations; they are a reflection of previous convictions coming from the confident investors. A financial crisis is the result of the lack of confidence that characterizes a market moments before the crisis. Stocks returns are perfectly correlated to each other and it is possible to obtain high gains consistently. Finally we provide a different way of assessing risk and suggest a method to sense future performances.

Suggested Citation

  • Hicham Benjelloun, 2011. "About stock markets predictability," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 2(2), pages 26-31, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:2:y:2011:i:2:id:2173
    DOI: 10.22610/jebs.v1i1.218
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