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The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version Yearly Forecast - Preliminate for 2009

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  • Institute for Economic Forecasting

Abstract

The macromodel estimates the short and medium-term economic implications for internal policies and changes in the international context. This version of the Romanian macromodel incorporates the experience accumulated through the utilisation of its previous forms - either experimental (tested during 1991-1995) or operational (developed during 1996-2003). At the same time, it introduces some methodological and information improvements. The most significant of them is the structural decomposition of the economy, associated with input-output techniques. Due to the relatively advanced stage of the transitional processes in Romania, the behavioural functions were accommodated - as much as possible - to the standard relationships. Unlike the versions that used the statistical series beginning in 1980, the present one is based exclusively on information concerning the period 1989-2004. Therefore, we have considered more adequately to name this variant the macromodel of the Romanian market (not transition, as before) economy. In this article we present only the economic preliminate for 2009 of the variable of interest. For a description of the model, see RJEF, No. 1/2007 of [4].

Suggested Citation

  • Institute for Economic Forecasting, 2009. "The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version Yearly Forecast - Preliminate for 2009," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 224-226, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2009:i:4:p:224-226
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    model; input-output analysis; econometric relationships; simulations;

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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