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U.S. Energy Policy and Economic Growth, 1975-2000

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  • Edward A. Hudson
  • Dale W. Jorgenson

Abstract

This paper presents a new approach to the quantitative analysis of U.S. energy policy, based on an integration of econometric modeling and input-output analysis. It incorporates a new methodology for assessing the impact of economic policy on both demand and supply for energy within a complete econometric model of the U.S. economy. The model consists of production models for nine industrial sectors, a model of consumer demand, and a macro-econometric growth model for the U.S. economy. The model is first used to project economic activity and energy utilization for the period 1975 to 2000 under the assumption of no change in energy policy. The model is then employed to design a tax program for stimulating energy conservation and reducing dependence on imported sources of energy. The overall conclusion of the analysis of tax policy is that substantial reductions in energy use can be achieved without economic cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward A. Hudson & Dale W. Jorgenson, 1974. "U.S. Energy Policy and Economic Growth, 1975-2000," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 5(2), pages 461-514, Autumn.
    • Handle: RePEc:rje:bellje:v:5:y:1974:i:autumn:p:461-514
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    Cited by:

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    2. Hepburn, Cameron & Teytelboym, Alexander & Cohen, Francois, 2018. "Is Natural Capital Really Substitutable?," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-12, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    3. Yung Joon Lee & Hyoungsoo Zang, 1998. "Urbanisation and Regional Productivity in Korean Manufacturing," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 35(11), pages 2085-2099, November.
    4. Mateo Cordier & Takuro Uehara & Jeffrey Weih & Bertrand Hamaide, 2017. "An Input-output Economic Model Integrated Within a System Dynamics Ecological Model: Feedback Loop Methodology Applied to Fish Nursery Restoration," Post-Print hal-04166569, HAL.
    5. Jackson, Andrew & Jackson, Tim, 2021. "Modelling energy transition risk: The impact of declining energy return on investment (EROI)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    6. Ayres, Robert U. & van den Bergh, Jeroen C.J.M. & Lindenberger, Dietmar & Warr, Benjamin, 2013. "The underestimated contribution of energy to economic growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 79-88.
    7. Sharify, Nooraddin, 2013. "Input–output modelling of the effect of implicit subsidies on general prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 913-917.
    8. Philip Adams & Janine Dixon & Mark Horridge, 2015. "The Victoria University Regional Model (VURM): Technical Documentation, Version 1.0," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-254, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    9. Craxton, Melanie & Merrick, James & Makridis, Christos & Taggart, John, 2017. "On the climate policy implications of substitutability and flexibility in the economy: An in-depth integrated assessment model diagnostic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 289-298.
    10. Zhai, Fan, 2008. "Armington Meets Melitz: Introducing Firm Heterogeneity in a Global CGE Model of Trade," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 575-604.
    11. Kofi Amoateng, 1997. "How stable is relationship between US petroleum imports and economic growth?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(9), pages 551-554.
    12. Roy Boyd & Kerry Krutilla, 1992. "Controlling acid deposition: A general equilibrium assessment," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 2(3), pages 307-322, May.
    13. Nakano, Satoshi & Nishimura, Kazuhiko, 2021. "Productivity propagation with networks transformation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    14. Andrei Polbin & Sergey Drobyshevsky, 2014. "Developing a Dynamic Stochastic Model of General Equilibrium for the Russian Economy," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 166P, pages 156-156.
    15. Philip D. Adams & Peter J. Higgs, 1990. "Calibration of Computable General Equilibrium Models from Synthetic Benchmark Equilibrium Data Sets," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 66(2), pages 110-126, June.
    16. Irfan Ullah Munir & Shen Yue & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi Abro & Shabir Hyder & Khalid Zaman, 2021. "Structural changes, financial and business regulatory measures, energy and tourism demand: Evidence from group of seven countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2198-2218, April.
    17. Salamaliki, Paraskevi K. & Venetis, Ioannis A., 2013. "Energy consumption and real GDP in G-7: Multi-horizon causality testing in the presence of capital stock," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 108-121.
    18. Li, Yingzhu & Shi, Xunpeng & Su, Bin, 2017. "Economic, social and environmental impacts of fuel subsidies: A revisit of Malaysia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 51-61.
    19. Malliet, Paul & Reynès, Frédéric G., 2022. "Empirical estimates of the elasticity of substitution of a KLEM production function without nesting constraints: The case of the Variable Output Elasticity-Cobb Douglas," Conference papers 333423, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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