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Colombian agricultural sector and armed conflict (2007 - 2022): An empirical analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mosquera, Daniel Andrés

    (Universidad del Valle (Univalle))

  • de Oliveira, Nadja Simone Menezes Nery

    (Universidad del Valle (Univalle))

  • Shikida, Pery Francisco Assis

    (Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (Unioeste))

Abstract

This article empirically proposes an unbalanced panel data model of random effects for the totalof municipalities in Colombia in a period between 2007 and 2022 that analyzes the impact ofthe armed conflict on agricultural production, controlling by municipalities ZOMAC, post-peaceagreement and sown area. The results show that production is negatively affected by 0.008%for each 1% additional victims of conflict in the municipalities each year; the analysis is carriedout crop cycle, where transient crops are the most affected in the face of the conflict. On theother hand, the econometry model include the Differences-in-Differences parameter to estimatethe post-agreements, between Colombian Estate and FARC, effect in the agriculture production.The results show that in a peace scenario, the agriculture production growth 0,07% each year.

Suggested Citation

  • Mosquera, Daniel Andrés & de Oliveira, Nadja Simone Menezes Nery & Shikida, Pery Francisco Assis, 2025. "Colombian agricultural sector and armed conflict (2007 - 2022): An empirical analysis," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), vol. 19(1), pages 24-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:rberur:0230
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural production; Armed conflict; Violence; Institutionality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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