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The extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index




Extreme value theory has been widely applied in insurance and finance to model rare events. Plenty of such events have occurred in financial markets during the last two decades, including stock market crashes, currency crises, or large bankruptcies. This article applies extreme value theory results to quantify the extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index in light of the recent systemic banking crisis. The lower tail of the premier American stock index distribution reveals how deep the impact of the recent financial crisis is.

Suggested Citation

  • Aboura, Sofiane, 2009. "The extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 26, pages 104-107.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:jofitr:1397

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Edward I. Altman & Brooks Brady & Andrea Resti & Andrea Sironi, 2005. "The Link between Default and Recovery Rates: Theory, Empirical Evidence, and Implications," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(6), pages 2203-2228, November.
    2. Dvorak, Tomas & Podpiera, Richard, 2006. "European Union enlargement and equity markets in accession countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 129-146, June.
    3. Egert, Balazs & Kocenda, Evzen, 2007. "Interdependence between Eastern and Western European stock markets: Evidence from intraday data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 184-203, June.
    4. Brian L. Betker, 1997. "The Administrative Costs of Debt Restructurings: Some Recent Evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 26(4), Winter.
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    More about this item


    Extreme value theory; rare events; extreme downside risk;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill


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