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Modeling and pricing of credit derivatives using macroeconomic information




We show how to price credit default options and swaps based on a four-factor defaultable term-structure model. One of the key factors is a macroeconomic factor that takes into account the impact of the general economy on the quality of firms. We derive the pricing functions and show how to calibrate the model to market prices. Basically, we need three pieces of information: the actual non-defaultable, the defaultable, and the zero-recovery defaultable term structure. The first two pieces can be easily obtained from observable market data, the latter can be inferred from the other two. We illustrate the whole pricing process, from model specification and parameter estimation to the actual credit derivatives pricing. Our data includes the recent credit crisis and proves the performance of our model even through times of market dislocation.

Suggested Citation

  • Schmid, Bernd & Zagst, Rudi & Antes, Stefan & El Moufatich, Fayssal, 2009. "Modeling and pricing of credit derivatives using macroeconomic information," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 26, pages 60-68.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:jofitr:1395

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Edward I. Altman & Brooks Brady & Andrea Resti & Andrea Sironi, 2005. "The Link between Default and Recovery Rates: Theory, Empirical Evidence, and Implications," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(6), pages 2203-2228, November.
    2. Dvorak, Tomas & Podpiera, Richard, 2006. "European Union enlargement and equity markets in accession countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 129-146, June.
    3. Egert, Balazs & Kocenda, Evzen, 2007. "Interdependence between Eastern and Western European stock markets: Evidence from intraday data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 184-203, June.
    4. Brian L. Betker, 1997. "The Administrative Costs of Debt Restructurings: Some Recent Evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 26(4), Winter.
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    More about this item


    Credit default options; Swaps; defaultable term-structure model;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill


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