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The adjustment of primary schools to shrinking populations: a spatial modelling approach

Author

Listed:
  • Wolf, Jan

    (Research Unit in Governance, Competitiveness and Public Policies (GOVCOPP), University of Aveiro)

  • Marto, Marco

    (Research Unit in Governance, Competitiveness and Public Policies (GOVCOPP), University of Aveiro)

  • Madaleno, Mara

    (Research Unit in Governance, Competitiveness and Public Policies (GOVCOPP), University of Aveiro)

  • Marques, João Lourenço

    (Research Unit in Governance, Competitiveness and Public Policies (GOVCOPP), University of Aveiro)

Abstract

The adjustment of services of general interest to ageing and shrinking populations is a significant challenge in many European regions. This article analyses the response in the number of primary schools to changes in the student population in the municipalities of mainland Portugal between 2007 and 2016. It focuses on the time lag of this adjustment, the territorial factors that influence it and the role of spatial spill-over effects. The main finding is that the relationship between the number of schools and the number of students is not straightforward and can only be understood considering the broader geographic contexts and spatial dependence structures. Keywords: . JEL Classification: .

Suggested Citation

  • Wolf, Jan & Marto, Marco & Madaleno, Mara & Marques, João Lourenço, 2022. "The adjustment of primary schools to shrinking populations: a spatial modelling approach," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 54, pages 51-64.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:invreg:0491
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Population growth; primary schools; spatial modelling; Portugal; spatial dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R53 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Public Facility Location Analysis; Public Investment and Capital Stock
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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