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Membership of EMU: A Fuzzy Clustering Analysis of Alternative Criteria

Author

Listed:
  • Artis, M.J.

    (European University Institute and CEPR)

  • Zhang, W.

    (Manchester Metropolitan University)

Abstract

The paper applies fuzzy clustering techniques to the member countries of the European Union in order to arrive at an identification of preferred monetary union groupings. The statistical criteria employed are those suggested, alternatively, by the traditional Optimal Currency Area theory or the Treaty of Maastricht. Both criteria sets identify well-identified sub-groups, where a distinction can be made between a “core group” and one or more peripheral goups. Despite some differences, the similarity between the groups distinguished by the alternative sets of criteria is quite striking. On the whole this is good news for the sustainability of the current “Euro-zone”.

Suggested Citation

  • Artis, M.J. & Zhang, W., 2002. "Membership of EMU: A Fuzzy Clustering Analysis of Alternative Criteria," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 17, pages 54-79.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0184
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal Currency Area; Maastricht Treaty Criteria; EMU; Fuzzy Clustering;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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