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Egypt’s Liquid Assets and their Quarterly Structure: an Econometric Study of a Less Developed Country




Quarterly studies on LDCs asset demand are rare because of the scantiness of quarterly data especially on their national income. Made possible by the author’s own quarterly estimates of Egypt’s national income and its disaggregates, this paper examines the quarterly structure of its liquid-asset components. Based on the theoretical framework of modem monetary theory, the model used is adapted for the main features of LDCs and the specificities of Egyptian conditions, institutions and experience. In particular, the income variables are specified in a novel way to allow for Egypt’s seasonal phenomena, its urban-rural duality, and the implications of financiali repression characterizing LDCs. And the yield variables are tailored to reflect the country’s undeveloped financial markets, the peculiarities of its institutions, asset portfolios, and interest rate policies. The study produces a matrix of income, yield and adjustment elasticities that may prove helpful to policy-makers.

Suggested Citation

  • El-Sheikh , Salah, 2001. "Egypt’s Liquid Assets and their Quarterly Structure: an Econometric Study of a Less Developed Country," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 54(3), pages 325-359.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0210

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Eichengreen, Barry & Rose, Andrew K & Wyplosz, Charles, 1996. "Contagious Currency Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 1453, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1998. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 45(1), pages 1-48, March.
    3. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 72-81, March.
    4. Paul R Masson, 1998. "Contagion; Monsoonal Effects, Spillovers, and Jumps Between Multiple Equilibria," IMF Working Papers 98/142, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    6. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November.
    7. van der Ploeg, Frederick, 1989. "The Political Economy of Overvaluation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(397), pages 850-855, September.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General


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