IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this article

Spreads on Emerging-Market Debt: Global vs. Regional Factors

Listed author(s):
  • Cifarelli, Giulio


    (Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche (Department of Economics) Facoltà di Economia (Faculty of Economics) Università degli Studi di Firenze)

  • Paladino, Giovanna

    (San Paolo IMI SpA, Funzione Studi)

This paper investigates the behaviour, from October 1999 to May 2001, of spreads on sovereign debt issuance from 15 countries located in Asia, Latin America and Eastern Europe using a homogeneous secondary market database. The research integrates standard Principal Components Analysis procedures with a VAR impulse response investigation. The latter provides information which is instrumental for the economic interpretation of the Principal Components. Convincing evidence is found of spread co-movements, within and across geographical areas, possibly due to cross-market “contagion” phenomena. Latin American and Asiatic spreads seem to be somehow interlinked whereas Eastern European spreads, but for the Turkish one, seem to react to idiosyncratic factors only. Our findings suggest that portfolio managers should take their investment decisions according to both cross-market and cross-(geographical) area diversification rules. At the same time emerging market countries should be aware of the danger of sudden capital outflows due to regional contagion.

To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

Article provided by Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova in its journal Economia Internazionale / International Economics.

Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 255-286

in new window

Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0165
Contact details of provider: Postal:
Via Garibaldi 4, 16124 Genova, Italy

Phone: +39 010 27041
Fax: +39 010 2704222
Web page:

More information through EDIRC

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Angela Procopio)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.