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The Volatility of the Euro/Dollar Exchange Rate: Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications


  • Tronzano, Marco

    () (Università di Genova; Facoltà di Economia; Dipartimento di Economia e Metodi Quantitativi)


examines the volatility of the U$/Euro exchange rate during the period 1999-2005. According to our estimates, the degree of volatility persistence, although statistically significant, is rather low; moreover, there is no evidence of an asymmetric response of predictable volatility to past innovations. Since this evidence excludes a relevant component of ‘nonfundamental’ exchange rate volatility, the main policy implication is that the ECB ‘benign neglect’ approach towards the Euro has been entirely appropriate. This conclusion is in line with the current consensus view emerging from the literature on inflation targeting and monetary policy rules in open economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Tronzano, Marco, 2008. "The Volatility of the Euro/Dollar Exchange Rate: Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 61(2-3), pages 569-596.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0038

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    More about this item


    Exchange Rate Volatility; Garch Models; Monetary Policy Rules; ECB; International Policy Coordination;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange


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