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Analisis Keberlakuan Efek Kurva J pada Hubungan Bilateral Indonesia-ASEAN 5: 2010.1-2021.4

Author

Listed:
  • Ndaru Apsari, Muntaz

    (Departemen Ilmu Ekonomidan Studi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis,Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang, Indonesia)

  • Xaverius Sugiyanto, Fransiscus

    (Departemen Ilmu Ekonomidan Studi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis,Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang, Indonesia)

Abstract

This study was conducted to examine the J-curve effect in the bilateral relationship between Indonesia and the ASEAN-5 countries, as well as to understand how the AFTA and MEA programs related to economic openness influence the formation of the J-curve in this bilateral relationship. The variables used in this research are bilateral net exports between Indonesia and the ASEAN-5, bilateral real exchange rates, and the degree of bilateral economic openness between Indonesia and the ASEAN-5. Based on the results of the regression analysis, it indicates that the bilateral relationship between Indonesia and the ASEAN-5 during the period from Q1 2010 to Q4 2021 does not confirm the existence of the J-curve effect, and the degree of economic openness significantly influences bilateral net exports in the Indonesia-Thailand and Indonesia-Malaysia relationships. The elasticity of the real exchange rate and the degree of economic openness with respect to net exports is related to the existence and formation of the J-curve.

Suggested Citation

  • Ndaru Apsari, Muntaz & Xaverius Sugiyanto, Fransiscus, 2023. "Analisis Keberlakuan Efek Kurva J pada Hubungan Bilateral Indonesia-ASEAN 5: 2010.1-2021.4," Diponegoro Journal of Economics (DJOE), Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Diponegoro, vol. 12(3), pages 47-56, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:dipjoe:9710
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