IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/buecrj/0213.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cointegration Analysis Between Stock Exchange and TL/FX Saving Deposits, Gold, Housing Markets in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Coşkun, Yener

    (Sermaye Piyasası Kurulu)

  • Ümit, A. Öznur

    (Ondokuz Mayis University)

Abstract

The paper asks whether the return of Borsa Istanbul100 index has long term relations with U.S. Dollar to Turkish Lira (TL) exchange rate, London Bullion Market Association (LMBA) gold fixing price, interest rate on TL saving deposit, and real house price index over the period of 2000:01-2014:07 in Turkey. We first test stationary of time series through Augmented Dickey Fuller, Phillips-Perron, Zivot-Andrews, and Lee-Strazicich unit root tests. Then, we perform Johansen cointegration test and multiple structural breaks cointegration test of Maki (2012). Johansen cointegration test suggests that there is a long term relationship among the variables, but Maki cointegration estimation do not provide evidence for the existence of cointegration. According to the latter result, we may argue that TL/FX saving deposits, gold, and housing markets in Turkey, having probably different investment dynamics and investor profile, may not integrate or compete with stock market under the impacts of structural breaks. This outcome may also imply that the policies on the development of stock market and contributions of stock market to the growth may have some structural limitations.

Suggested Citation

  • Coşkun, Yener & Ümit, A. Öznur, 2016. "Cointegration Analysis Between Stock Exchange and TL/FX Saving Deposits, Gold, Housing Markets in Turkey," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 47-69, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0213
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.berjournal.com/cointegration-analysis-between-stock-exchange-and-tlfx-saving-deposits-gold-housing-markets-in-turkey
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ali K k olak & Figen B y kak n & Necla Ilter Kucukcolak, 2019. "Cointegration of Equity and Gold Markets: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 32-40.
    2. Yener Coskun & Unal Seven & H. Murat Ertugrul & Talat Ulussever, 2017. "Capital market and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19–29.
    3. Faris Alshubiri, 2021. "The stock market capitalisation and financial growth nexus: an empirical study of western European countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Borsa İstanbul; Exchange Rate; Housing; Cointegration; Structural Break;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0213. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Adem Anbar (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iiulutr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.