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La inseguridad y la demanda por entretenimiento: evidencia para las areas metropolitanas de Monterrey, Guadalajara y Leon

  • Edgardo Arturo Ayala Gaytan


    (Instituto Tecnologico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey)

  • Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantu

    (Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon)

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    Se formula un modelo de demanda que considera la probabilidad percibida de ser victima de un delito y distingue los bienes de consumo en servicios de entretenimiento fuera del hogar y el resto. Los resultados arrojan que la probabilidad percibida de ser victima tiene un efecto negativo en la demanda de entretenimiento fuera del hogar. Las predicciones del modelo son probadas empiricamente estimando un modelo probit de cambio de habitos de salir a comer o al cine, utilizando los resultados de una encuesta sobre victimizacion aplicada en las areas metropolitanas de Monterrey, Guadalajara y Leon en 2009. Se encuentran como determinantes significativos del cambio en las salidas a comer o al cine: los niveles de miedo al crimen en la colonia y en el area metropolitana, la escolaridad, la edad y el genero. Asi tambien, se identifican como determinantes del miedo al crimen, la victimizacion previa y la confianza en la policia.

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    Article provided by Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia. in its journal EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios.

    Volume (Year): 9 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 1 (Enero-Junio)
    Pages: 135-148

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    Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:135-148
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