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Movilidad del capital, tasa de interes, tipo de cambio real y crecimiento economico

  • Enrique R. Casares


    (Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Azcapotzalco)

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    Se desarrolla un modelo de crecimiento endogeno con dos sectores: comerciable y no-comerciable. El sector comerciable es la fuente del conocimiento tecnologico. Los Hogares tienen una restriccion al credito, asi el capital comerciable sirve unicamente como colateral para los prestamos internacionales. Los inversionistas extranjeros perciben un riesgo pais. En el estado estacionario, se muestra que un aumento de la relacion deuda externa a capital comerciable, sin disminucion de la prima de riesgo pais, no afecta el tipo de cambio real. Asi, la tasa de crecimiento de la economia aumenta. Sin embargo, un incremento de la relacion deuda externa a capital comerciable, con disminucion de la prima de riesgo pais, produce una apreciacion del tipo de cambio real. Por lo tanto, el sector comerciable es perjudicado y la tasa de crecimiento de la economia puede aumentar o disminuir, dependiendo del grado de apreciacion.

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    Article provided by Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia. in its journal EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios.

    Volume (Year): 7 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 2 (Enero - Junio)
    Pages: 73-91

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    Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:7:y:2011:i:2:p:73-91
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