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Efectos de las exportaciones en el crecimiento economico de Mexico: Un analisis de cointegracion, 1929-2009

Author

Listed:
  • Domingo Rodriguez Benavides

    () (Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Azcapotzalco)

  • Francisco Venegas-Martinez
  • Instituto Politecnico Nacional

Abstract

En esta investigacion se analiza la hipotesis Export Led Growth para Mexico, durante el periodo 1929-2009, la cual establece que la expansion de las exportaciones puede influir positivamente sobre el crecimiento economico. Lo anterior se lleva a cabo a traves de tecnicas econometricas de series de tiempo multivariadas, especificamente se utiliza la prueba de cointegracion de Johansen y el analisis de causalidad de Granger. Mediante la estimacion de un modelo de correccion del error se encuentra una relacion estable de largo plazo entre las exportaciones y el PIB real de Mexico, en la cual la direccion de la causalidad va de las exportaciones hacia el crecimiento del PIB.

Suggested Citation

  • Domingo Rodriguez Benavides & Francisco Venegas-Martinez & Instituto Politecnico Nacional, 2011. "Efectos de las exportaciones en el crecimiento economico de Mexico: Un analisis de cointegracion, 1929-2009," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 7(2), pages 55-71, Enero - J.
  • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:7:y:2011:i:2:p:55-71
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exportaciones; crecimiento economico; cointegracion; modelos de correccion del error; causalidad de Granger.;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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