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Efectos de las exportaciones en el crecimiento economico de Mexico: Un analisis de cointegracion, 1929-2009

Listed author(s):
  • Domingo Rodriguez Benavides


    (Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Azcapotzalco)

  • Francisco Venegas-Martinez
  • Instituto Politecnico Nacional

En esta investigacion se analiza la hipotesis Export Led Growth para Mexico, durante el periodo 1929-2009, la cual establece que la expansion de las exportaciones puede influir positivamente sobre el crecimiento economico. Lo anterior se lleva a cabo a traves de tecnicas econometricas de series de tiempo multivariadas, especificamente se utiliza la prueba de cointegracion de Johansen y el analisis de causalidad de Granger. Mediante la estimacion de un modelo de correccion del error se encuentra una relacion estable de largo plazo entre las exportaciones y el PIB real de Mexico, en la cual la direccion de la causalidad va de las exportaciones hacia el crecimiento del PIB.

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Article provided by Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia. in its journal EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios.

Volume (Year): 7 (2011)
Issue (Month): 2 (Enero - Junio)
Pages: 55-71

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Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:7:y:2011:i:2:p:55-71
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