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Clustering a sample of major and emerging economies regarding their economic policy uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco Venegas Martínez

    (Instituto Politecnico Nacional. Mexico)

  • Ana Lorena Jimenez-Preciado

    (Instituto Politecnico Nacional. Mexico)

Abstract

Objective: this study carries out pattern identification in a sample of 16 major and emerging economies in function of their economic policy uncertainty. Methodology: this paper applies for the groping procedure K-Means, Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (AHC), and Clustering and Density-Based Spatial Clustering with Noise (DBSCAN). Data: This research uses the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index calculated monthly by the EPU Agency for several countries. In particular, it examines EPU indexes for a sample 16 countries in five crisis periods between 2008 and 2024; the sample was chosen based on data availability. Results: global crises have created distinct country clusters transcending traditional economic groupings based on development status or geographical location. Notably, in the COVID-19 pandemic it generated an unprecedented global EPU homogeneity among countries. High-uncertainty clusters consistently emerge, often comprising large economies directly affected by crises. Limitations: there are possible biases in news-based com-ponent of EPU indices. Originality: to the best of the authors’ knowledge, multiple clustering techniques for various crisis periods have not been implemented before. Conclusion: global crises can equalize policy uncertainty, challenging conventional notions of economic resilience. The empirical findings emphasize the importance of considering EPU in a global context for those responsible for improving the design of economic policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Venegas Martínez & Ana Lorena Jimenez-Preciado, 2025. "Clustering a sample of major and emerging economies regarding their economic policy uncertainty," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 25(1), pages 57-76, January-J.
  • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:22:y:2025:i:1:p:57-76
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic policy uncertainty; cluster analysis; K-means; DBSCAN; agglomerative hierarchical clustering.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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