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Perspectives de l'économie française en 1989 et 1990

Author

Listed:
  • Département d'économétrie de l'OFCE
  • Pierre-Alain Muet
  • Alain Gubian
  • Véronique Leroux
  • Gérard Cornilleau

Abstract

[eng] According to the forecasts presented in this article, the growth rate of the French economy will remain above 3 % in 1 989, then fall somewhat in 1990 as a result of a slowdown of the world economy. The unemployment rate, steady in 1989, would thereafter increase. The inflation rate would remain moderate, although rising a little more rapidly in 1989. [fre] Selon la prévision présentée dans cet article, la croissance de l'économie française resterait supérieure à 3 % en 1989, mais s'infléchirait en 1990 à cause du ralentissement envisagé de l'économie mondiale. Le chômage, qui serait encore stabilisé en 1989, augmenterait à nouveau par la suite. L'inflation resterait modérée malgré une légère accélération en 1989. Une variante à la prévision centrale mesure l'impact d'une demande étrangère plus soutenue en 1990. Selon celle-ci la croissance atteindrait 3 % au lieu de 2,5 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Département d'économétrie de l'OFCE & Pierre-Alain Muet & Alain Gubian & Véronique Leroux & Gérard Cornilleau, 1989. "Perspectives de l'économie française en 1989 et 1990," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 28(1), pages 123-141.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:rvofce:ofce_0751-6614_1989_num_28_1_1183
    DOI: 10.3406/ofce.1989.1183
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ofce.1989.1183
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