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Projections agricole à moyen terme: éléments de réflexion sur des méthodes empiriques

  • Michel Petry
  • Lucien Pollina
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    [fre] Dans le cadre des travaux pour ie Pian, l'iNSEE élabore régulièrement des projections agricoles à moyen terme. Les méthodes empiriques de ces projections, succintement décrites, conduisent à des résultats qu'il est ensuite intéressant de comparer avec les réalisations (par exemple des projections à l'horizon 1980 effectuées en 1974). Elles fournissent, en outre, les principaux éléments permettant d'intégrer l'agriculture dans les modèles macro-économiques de I'INSEE. [eng] Within the framework of the work of the Ministry of Planning, the INSEE regularly prepares agricultural projections in the medium term. The empirical methods of the projections, briefly described here, lead to results that it is then interesting to compare to real performance (for instance, projections into 1980, carried out in 1974). Furthermore, they give the main data which allow agriculture to be integrated into the macro-economic models of the INSEE.

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    Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Économie rurale.

    Volume (Year): 155 (1983)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 41-42

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    Handle: RePEc:prs:recoru:ecoru_0013-0559_1983_num_155_1_4906
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecoru.1983.4906
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