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L'activité commerciale a baissé en 1983

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[fre] L'activité commerciale aurait diminué d'environ 1 % en 1983 aussi bien dans le commerce de gros que dans le commerce de détail. Pour le commerce non alimentaire, la récession est assez nette : ainsi dans le commerce de détail, elle serait de — 2,3 %, — 3,3 % pharmacie exclue, après il est vrai une croissance de 2,5 % en 1982. Le commerce alimentaire résiste mieux, et en ce qui concerne le commerce de détail, bénéficie encore d'une légère croissance (+ 0,2 %). Pendant les neuf premiers mois de l'année, les effectifs salariés se stabilisent. Le contraste est net avec la tendance croissante antérieure, et surtout avec la progression forte de 1982. Il est probable que, pour la première fois depuis de nombreuses années, la population active du commerce, salariée et non salariée, aura baissé en moyenne annuelle en 1983. Durant cette même période, le nombre d'établissements commerciaux est resté stable, celui des entreprises a légèrement diminué. La fréquence plus grande des difficultés de trésorerie chez les commerçants, ainsi que l'augmentation des défaillances d'entreprises, sont la traduction des effets de la baisse du volume des affaires, qui laisse entrevoir une baisse des résultats d'exploitation plus forte que l'année précédente. [eng] Activity in trade sectors declined in 1983 - Business activity declined by about 1 % in 1983, in wholesale as well as retail trade. For all business, with the exception of the food trade, the recession is clear enough : thus, in retail trade, it is probably around — 2,3 %, — 3,3 % exclusing drugs. This drop occurred, it is true, after 2,5 % growth in 1982. The food trade held up better and, where retail trade is concerned, even benefits from slight growth (+ 0,2 %) During the first nine months of the year, the number of wage-earners stabilized. This is in clear contrast with the former growth trend and, above all, with the strong progression in 1982. In 1983, it is probable that the annual average of active population in commerce, wage-earner and non wage-earner, dropped for the first time in many years. During this same period, the number of commercial establishments remained stable and the number of firms declined slightly. The greater frequency of financial difficulties among merchants as well as the increase of defaulting firms are manifestations of the drop in business volume. This offers a glimpse of a drop in operating results greater than the year before. [spa] La actividad comercial menguô en 1983 La actividad comercial habrîa descendido en un 1 % aproximadamente en 1983, tanto en el comercio por mayor como en el comercio por menor. Respecto a comercio no alimenticio, la recesiôn es bastante neta : asî pues, en el comercio por menor, séria de un — 2,3 %, — 3,3 % a excepciôn de farmacias, tras ciertamente, un incremento de un 2,5 % en 1982. El comercio alimenticio résiste mejor y por lo que se refiere al comercio por menor este se bénéficia de un levé incremento (un + 0,2 %). Durante los nueve primeros meses del ano 1983, el numéro de asalariados se estabi- lizô. El contraste es maniflesto con la creciente tendencia anterior y mâs aûn con la elevada progresiôn de 1982. Es probable que, por primera vez desde hace muchos anos, la poblaciôn activa del comercio, asalariada o no, ha descendido en promedio anual en 1983. Durante este mismo perfodo, el numéro de establecimientos comer- ciales permaneciô estable mientras que el de las empresas descendiô algo. La mayor frecuencia de las dificultades de tesoreria con las que tropiezan los comer- ciantes, asî como el incremento de quiebras de empresas, atestiguan los efectos del descenso de volumen de los negocios, lo cual déjà vislumbrar un descenso de los resultados de explotaciôn de mayor consideraciôn que durante el ano anterior.

Suggested Citation

  • Anonymous or collective, 1984. "L'activité commerciale a baissé en 1983," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 163(1), pages 17-25.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1984_num_163_1_4830
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1984.4830
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1984.4830
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