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La production industrielle n'a pas suivi la demande intérieure en 1982

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  • Jacques Magniez

Abstract

[spa] La producción industrial no siguió la demanda interior en 1982 - El año 1982 se senala por una intensa reactivación de la demanda interior respecto a productos industriales. Mas dicha reactivación résulta provechosa tan solo en parte para los productores nacionales. Acarrea también un agudo incremento de las importaciones de bienes de consumo y de automóviles. Al propio tiempo, las exportaciones experimentan los efectos de la escasez de demanda mundial. La conjunción de ambos fenómenos causa un descenso del superávit, el cual atari e a casi todos los productos, incluso los que eran más excedentes. La producción desciende ligeramente y el empleo industrial sigue retrocediendo a ritmo elevado. En el mercado francés, los precios de los productos nacionales suben más despacio que los de las importaciones. Los reajustes monetarios de 1981 y 1982 facilitaron este movimiento. Permitieron al mismo tiempo a los exportadores llevar a efecto un alza de sus precios en francos y por lo tanto reconstituir sus márgenes de beneficios de los productos exportados. [eng] Industrial production has not followed the domestic demand in 1982 - 1982 was characterized by a sharp increase in the domestic demand for industrial products. But this increase only profited a part of the nation's producers. There was a sharp increase in the automobile imports and consumption goods. At the same time, exports suffered the effects of a weak world-wide demand. The combination of these two elements brought about a fall in the commercial surplus, which hit almost all products, even those that had the biggest surplus. Production fell slightly, and industrial employment continued to regress at a strong rythm. On the French market, the prices of national goods rose less quickly that those for imports. The monetary adjustments of 1981 and 1982 facilitated this movement. They allowed exporters at the same time to rise their prices in francs, and thus reconstitute their margins on exported products. [fre] L'année 1982 est marquée par une vive reprise de la demande intérieure de produits industriels. Mais cette reprise ne profite qu'en partie aux producteurs nationaux. Elle provoque aussi une forte progression des importations de biens de consommation et d'automobiles. Dans le même temps, les exportations subissent les effets de la faiblesse de la demande mondiale. La conjonction de ces deux phénomènes engendre une chute de l'excédent commercial, qui touche presque tous les produits, même ceux qui étaient les plus excédentaires. La ptoduction baisse légèrement et l'emploi industriel continue de régresser à un rythme élevé. Sur le marché français, les prix des produits nationaux croissent moins vite que ceux des importations. Les ajustements monétaires de 1981 et 1982 ont facilité ce mouvement. Ils ont permis en même temps aux exportateurs d'accroître leurs prix en francs, et ainsi de reconstituer leurs marges sur les produits exportés.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Magniez, 1983. "La production industrielle n'a pas suivi la demande intérieure en 1982," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 159(1), pages 5-12.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1983_num_159_1_4789
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1983.4789
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1983.4789
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