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Les attitudes des ménages : leur signification

Listed author(s):
  • Philippe l'Hardy
Registered author(s):

    [eng] Households' behaviours : their meaning - L'INSEE's survey dealing with « private persons behaviour and their purchasing purposes », which constitutes a preference tool for a short-term analysis, intends as well knowing households' opinion with regard to French actual and future economic situation. Owing to the experience of fifteen years or so, the author compares the evolution established with the opinions expressed and examines the value for forecasting of the indicators thus elaborated. The consideration deals mainly with economic environment (rise in prices, increase in unemployment and income), behaviour in the matter of saving, and purchasing purposes of durable goods such as motor-car. It thus becomes evident that households have a fairly good perception of the economic context, even if it is slightly dramatized on account of the prevailing tone. Besides, the survey constitutes a very useful guide mark when stability within households' behaviour appears as doubtful. [spa] Los comportamientos de los hogares : su significación - Instrumento de prerogativa para un análisis coyuntural, la encuesta del INSEE relativa a « comportamiento y propósitos de compras de los particulares » intenta conocer también el dictamen de los hogares respecto a la situación económica reciente y futura de Francia. Con la experiencia adquirida a lo largo de mis de quince anos, el autor equipara la evolución comprobada con las opiniones emitidas y se interroga acerca del valor de predicción de los indicadores asf constituidos. El examen abarca mayormente el ambiente económico (alza de precios, incremento del paro, evolución de los ingresos), el comportamiento relativo a ahorro y los propósitos de compras de bienes de duración tales como coche de turismo. Parece ser que los hogares manifiestan un buen entendimiento del contexto económico, incluso si se averigua algo dramatizado a consecuencia del ambiente general que impera. Por anadidura, la encuesta constituye un punto de partida harto util ya que existe cierta incertidumbre respecto a estabilidad en los comportamientos de los hogares. [fre] Les attitudes des ménages : leur signification - Instrument privilégié d'analyse conjoncturelle, l'enquête de l'INSEE sur les « attitudes et intentions d'achats des particuliers» cherche également à connaître l'opinion des ménages sur la situation économique française récente et future. A la lumière d'une expérience de plus de quinze années, l'auteur, rapprochant l'évolution observée des opinions émises, s'interroge sur la valeur prédictive des indicateurs ainsi constitués. L'examen a principalement porté sur la perception de l'environnement; économique (évolution des prix, du chômage, des revenus), sur les comportements d'épargne et sur les intentions d'achats de biens durables tels que l'automobile. II apparaît ainsi que les ménages ont une bonne perception du contexte économique, même si elle est un peu dramatisée par le climat général. En outre, l'enquête constitue un repère extrêmement utile quand il y a des raisons de douter de la stabilité des comportements des ménages.

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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3406/estat.1976.2279
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    File URL: http://www.persee.fr/doc/estat_0336-1454_1976_num_74_1_2279
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    Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Economie et statistique.

    Volume (Year): 74 (1976)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 5-13

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    Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1976_num_74_1_2279
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1976.2279
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.persee.fr/collection/estat

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