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Může být pronatalitní politika účinná?
[Can pronatalist policy be effective?]

Author

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  • Marek Loužek

Abstract

The article is concerned with pro-natalist policies, examining empirically their effectiveness. There are proposed four hypotheses: 1. Continuous decline of the birthrate, 2. Adaptive model, 3. Natural-rate-hypothesis and 4. Crowding-out-hypothesis. Nine countries are tested: Germany, Italy, Sweden and France before World War II and Romania, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Hungary and East Germany during the communism. Best empirical results arise from the crowding-out-hypothesis. Good results follow from the adaptive model and the continuous decline of birthrates. The natural-rate-hypothesis has small explanational power. Pronatalist policies, according to this study, are not too effective.

Suggested Citation

  • Marek Loužek, 2002. "Může být pronatalitní politika účinná? [Can pronatalist policy be effective?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2002(6).
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2002:y:2002:i:6:id:389
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.389
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