IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpep/v2000y2000i4id87.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic development in the czech republic and accession to the european union

Author

Listed:
  • Jan Fidrmuc
  • Jarko Fidrmuc

Abstract

This paper discusses the implications of accession of the Czech Republic to the European Union. First, we estimate the potential growth in the enlargement and the non-enlargement scenarios. Second, we provide a structural forecast of GDP components. We show that both forecasts are consistent. Accordingly, GDP growth is forecasted to be 4.5 % and 5.0 % in 2001 - 2004 and 4.2 % and 5.2 % in 2005 - 2010 for the accession and non-accession scenarios, respectively. The accession scenario follows the current cyclical pattern (recession 1998 - 1999, recovery 2000 - 2003, boom 2004 - 2007, and a soft landing in the following years), while the non-accession scenario would extend the current recession until 2005.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Fidrmuc & Jarko Fidrmuc, 2000. "Macroeconomic development in the czech republic and accession to the european union," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2000(4).
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2000:y:2000:i:4:id:87
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.vse.cz/pep/87
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2000:y:2000:i:4:id:87. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Frantisek Sokolovsky). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.