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Impact of pregabalin reclassification as a controlled substance in Egypt on gabapentinoid and opioid utilization: A repeated cross-sectional study

Author

Listed:
  • Araniy Santhireswaran
  • Simon LaRue
  • Shanzeh Chaudhry
  • Yilei Liu
  • Katie Suda
  • Omneya Mohamed
  • Mohamed Amin
  • Jason Guertin
  • Mina Tadrous

Abstract

Background: Pregabalin is commonly used for treating pain but is also recognized for its misuse potential. In response to rising abuse, Egyptian health authorities reclassified pregabalin as a controlled substance in August 2019, aiming to curb misuse and regulate its distribution. This study evaluated the impact of the 2019 policy on gabapentinoid (pregabalin and gabapentin) and opioid sales in Egypt. Methods: An interrupted time-series analysis using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models was conducted on IQVIA MIDAS® quarterly volume sales data obtained under license from IQVIA for the period 2012–2023. Copyright IQVIA. All rights reserved. Drug volume sales were standardized per 1,000 individuals based on population estimates. ARIMA modelling was used to capture immediate and delayed effects of the August 2019 policy change. Percent changes for 3-, 6- and 12-months were also calculated. Results: Overall gabapentinoid sales increased steadily until the second quarter of 2019. Following reclassification, a significant decline in total gabapentinoid sales (−67%) was observed, driven by a 99% drop in pregabalin sales, while gabapentin sales surged by 198%. ARIMA analyses of gabapentinoid sales showed a significant short-term effect (pulse: p

Suggested Citation

  • Araniy Santhireswaran & Simon LaRue & Shanzeh Chaudhry & Yilei Liu & Katie Suda & Omneya Mohamed & Mohamed Amin & Jason Guertin & Mina Tadrous, 2025. "Impact of pregabalin reclassification as a controlled substance in Egypt on gabapentinoid and opioid utilization: A repeated cross-sectional study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(12), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0337833
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0337833
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