Prediction of therapeutic dropout in patients with addictions: Development and validation of the Predictors of Dropout from Addiction Treatment (PDAT) scale

Background: Withdrawal from addiction treatment is a frequent but difficult-to-predict contingency. We clarify and contextualize the concept of dropouts in addiction treatment, as well as the external and internal elements that most frequently lead to such dropouts. The main instruments used to measure dropout are summarized, after which a new tool, Predictors of Dropout from Addiction Treatment (PDAT) scale, is presented. The PDAT consists of four factors: 1) Motivation: desire to recover and to actively engage in current treatment; 2) Craving: longing for the use of substances and/or the substance addiction environment; 3) Problem awareness: level of insight, or degree of knowledge, and ability to objectify the problem and the disease, with the renunciations and limitations that this entails; and 4) Dysphoria: dyade inner restlessness – moodiness, i.e., emotional disturbance and depressive anticipation that precedes treatment withdrawal. Methods: The sample consisted of 243 addicted subjects in residential treatment, ranging in age from 18 to 63 years (average = 38.43, standard deviation = 10.95), who completed an initial 26-item PDAT questionnaire. The factor structure of the PDAT was determined by factor analysis. Mixed effects logistic regressions and receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analyses were applied to assess the predictive validity of the PDAT. Results: The 13-item PDAT showed adequate reliability and convergent and discriminant validity, with both the general scale and each of its factors having predictive validity 7 and 15 days after administration. Conclusion: The scale is a useful instrument with proven clinical efficacy and brevity of application. In addition, its four factors are useful for targeting interventions based on the unbalanced factors.