Author
Listed:
- Baljinder Kaur
- Manik Rakhra
- Nonita Sharma
- Deepak Prashar
- Leo Mrsic
- Arfat Ahmad Khan
- Seifedine Kadry
Abstract
The agricultural economy heavily relies on poultry production, making accurate forecasting of poultry data crucial for optimizing revenue, streamlining resource utilization, and maximizing productivity. This research introduces a novel application of the N-BEATS architecture for multi-dimensional poultry data forecasting with enhanced interpretability through an integrated Explainable AI (XAI) framework. Leveraging its advanced capabilities in time series modeling, N-BEATS is applied to predict multiple facets of poultry disease diagnostics using a multivariate dataset comprising key environmental parameters. The methodology empowers decision-making in poultry farm management by providing transparent and interpretable forecasts. Experimental results demonstrate that N-BEATS outperforms conventional deep learning models, including LSTM, GRU, RNN, and CNN, across various error metrics, achieving MAE of 0.172, RMSE of 0.313, MSLE of 0.042, R-squared of 0.034, and RMSLE of 0.204. The positive R-squared value indicates the model’s robustness against underfitting and overfitting, surpassing the performance of other models with negative R-squared values. This study establishes N-BEATS as a superior and interpretable solution for complex, multi-dimensional forecasting challenges in poultry production, with significant implications for enhancing predictive analytics in agriculture.
Suggested Citation
Baljinder Kaur & Manik Rakhra & Nonita Sharma & Deepak Prashar & Leo Mrsic & Arfat Ahmad Khan & Seifedine Kadry, 2025.
"N-Beats architecture for explainable forecasting of multi-dimensional poultry data,"
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(4), pages 1-19, April.
Handle:
RePEc:plo:pone00:0320979
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0320979
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