Second-line systemic treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis based on RCT

Background: The optimal second-line systemic treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is inconclusive. Methods: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library for RCTs comparing second-line systemic treatments for mCRC from the inception of each database up to February 3, 2024. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique was used in this network meta-analysis (NMA) to generate the direct and indirect comparison results among multiple treatments in progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), complete response (CR), partial response (PR), grade 3 and above adverse events (Grade ≥ 3AE), and any adverse events (Any AE). The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) was adopted to evaluate the probability of each treatment being the optimum intervention. Subgroup analyses were performed based on the RAS gene status. Results: A total of 47 randomized controlled trials were included, involving 16,925 patients and 44 second-line systemic treatments. In improving OS, FOLFOX + Bevacizumab + Erlotinib exhibited significant superiority (SUCRA:92.7%). In improving PFS, Irinotecan + CMAB009 (SUCRA:86.4%) had advantages over other treatments. FOLFIRI + Trebananib (SUCRA:88.1%) had a significant advantage in improving ORR. Among multiple second-line treatments, the SUCRA values of FOLFOX + Bevacizumab in PFS, OS, ORR, and PR were 83.4%, 74.0%, 81.1%, and 86.1%, respectively, and the safety was not significantly different from other interventions. Subgroup analyses showed that FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab + panitumumab ranked among the top in survival outcomes in the RAS-mutant population (OS SUCRA: 87.9%; PFS SUCRA: 70.2%); whereas in the RAS-wild-type population, FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab significantly improved survival outcomes (OS SUCRA: 73.2%; PFS SUCRA: 65.1%). Conclusion: For most people, FOLFOX + Bevacizumab may be the best second-line systemic treatment regimen for mCRC. For RAS-mutant populations, FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab + Panitumumab is recommended. However, the therapeutic effect may be affected by the patient’s physiological state, and clinicians should apply it based on actual conditions.