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A simple statistical model and physical device to estimate a woman-specific probability of skilled birth assistance and associated benefit of maternity waiting home stay

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  • Jérémie Gallien
  • Qi George Chen
  • Yuhang Du
  • Yi Zhang
  • Jody Lori
  • Joseph Sieka
  • Bentoe Tehoungue

Abstract

This paper presents a simple mathematical model and an associated physical device to predict (i) the risk that a woman’s active labour will begin without a skilled birth attendant based on her parity and anticipated time to access skilled care; and (ii) the extent to which that risk may be reduced by moving to a maternity waiting home some time before her expected due date. This tool is designed to facilitate more systematic discussions and better-informed decisions about labour care access arrangements during antenatal consultations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérémie Gallien & Qi George Chen & Yuhang Du & Yi Zhang & Jody Lori & Joseph Sieka & Bentoe Tehoungue, 2025. "A simple statistical model and physical device to estimate a woman-specific probability of skilled birth assistance and associated benefit of maternity waiting home stay," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(5), pages 1-14, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0302245
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302245
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