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The influence of speed abilities and technical skills in early adolescence on adult success in soccer: A long-term prospective analysis using ANOVA and SEM approaches

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  • Oliver Höner
  • Daniel Leyhr
  • Augustin Kelava

Abstract

Several talent development programs in youth soccer have implemented motor diagnostics measuring performance factors. However, the predictive value of such tests for adult success is a controversial topic in talent research. This prospective cohort study evaluated the long-term predictive value of 1) motor tests and 2) players’ speed abilities (SA) and technical skills (TS) in early adolescence. The sample consisted of 14,178 U12 players from the German talent development program. Five tests (sprint, agility, dribbling, ball control, shooting) were conducted and players’ height, weight as well as relative age were assessed at nationwide diagnostics between 2004 and 2006. In the 2014/15 season, the players were then categorized as professional (n = 89), semi-professional (n = 913), or non-professional players (n = 13,176), indicating their adult performance level (APL). The motor tests’ prognostic relevance was determined using ANOVAs. Players’ future success was predicted by a logistic regression threshold model. This structural equation model comprised a measurement model with the motor tests and two correlated latent factors, SA and TS, with simultaneous consideration for the manifest covariates height, weight and relative age. Each motor predictor and anthropometric characteristic discriminated significantly between the APL (p

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Höner & Daniel Leyhr & Augustin Kelava, 2017. "The influence of speed abilities and technical skills in early adolescence on adult success in soccer: A long-term prospective analysis using ANOVA and SEM approaches," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-15, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0182211
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0182211
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    Cited by:

    1. Dennis Murr & Philip Feichtinger & Paul Larkin & Donna O‘Connor & Oliver Höner, 2018. "Psychological talent predictors in youth soccer: A systematic review of the prognostic relevance of psychomotor, perceptual-cognitive and personality-related factors," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(10), pages 1-24, October.
    2. Young Hoon Song & Soo-Min Ha & Jang Soo Yook & Min-Seong Ha, 2019. "Interactive Improvements of Visual and Auditory Function for Enhancing Performance in Youth Soccer Players," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Daniel Leyhr & Augustin Kelava & Johannes Raabe & Oliver Höner, 2018. "Longitudinal motor performance development in early adolescence and its relationship to adult success: An 8-year prospective study of highly talented soccer players," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, May.
    4. Een Yayah Haenilah & Hasan Hariri & Ridwan & Onojah Amos Ochayi & Albet Maydiantoro & M. Arifki Zainaro & John Rainer T. Bolado & Tubagus Ali Rachman Puja Kesuma & Rias Tusianah & Usastiawaty C.A.S. I, 2022. "Literature Review of Good Teachers: The Attributes and Gaps of Indonesian Teachers as a Profession," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 11, March.

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