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Impact of Climate Change on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of Karachi District


  • Rafat Mahmood

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Sundus Saleemi

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Sajid Amin

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)


In the backdrop of growing concern over climatic changes occurring across the globe but specifically important for South Asia, the study aims at contributing in future design of power policies by projecting the need for capacity generation in response to climate change. Specifically the objective of the study is to see how electricity demand responds to changes in temperatures and using this response co-efficient, projecting increase in electricity demand under different climate change scenarios. Employing electricity consumption as a proxy for electricity demand for Karachi district, the results of the study suggest that electricity demand is expected to rise in future; the increase in demand being more significant and larger for residential consumers than commercial ones. Future research in this field may include larger set of control variables and projections of monthly temperatures for the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafat Mahmood & Sundus Saleemi & Sajid Amin, 2013. "Impact of Climate Change on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of Karachi District," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 467-478.
  • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:52:y:2013:i:4:p:467-478

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    More about this item


    Climate Change; Energy’ Electricity Demand; CDD; HDD; Temperatures;

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting


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