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The economic convergence in ASEAN and prospects for a monetary union

Author

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  • Abdul Mongid

    (STIE Perbanas, Surabaya, Indonesia)

Abstract

ASEAN countries have deliberated on the feasibility of a monetary union that seeks to set a common currency in the region. This is in accordance with the second declaration of the Bali Concord reaffirming the intention toward economic cooperation and integration. This study investigates the possibility of convergence of economic and monetary variables among ASEAN member countries by using cointegration methodology on economic data. The study found that most monetary data are not converged. Based on the results, monetary union in the form of a currency union is not yet feasible. However, ASEAN countries should start to apply a loose monetary union and dare to step onward and act consistently.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdul Mongid, 2006. "The economic convergence in ASEAN and prospects for a monetary union," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 205-219, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:phs:prejrn:v:43:y:2006:i:1:p:205-219
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    File URL: http://pre.econ.upd.edu.ph/index.php/pre/article/view/243/621
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1996. "The Channels of Monetary Transmission: Lessons for Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 5464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 3-10, Fall.
    3. Gruen, David & Romalis, John & Chandra, Naveen, 1999. "The Lags of Monetary Policy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(230), pages 280-294, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate; inflation rate; industrial production; base money and cointegration test; monetary union;

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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