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The Monetary Transmission Effects of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Hungary: A Simplified DSGE Simulation

Author

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  • Gyüre, Ferenc

Abstract

The paper examines how the introduction of a moderate, interest-neutral (policy-rate-remunerated) central bank digital currency (CBDC) modifies the short-run transmission of monetary policy in Hungary’s 2025 macroeconomic environment. It extends a baseline New Keynesian DSGE model with a CBDC, in which household savings are split between deposits and CBDC while bank lending is tied to deposits, so deposit substitution can weaken intermediation. Following calibration, simulations and impulse responses suggest that rule-based stabilisation largely remains intact, but the responses of real variables are more muted and adjustment may be slower.

Suggested Citation

  • Gyüre, Ferenc, 2026. "The Monetary Transmission Effects of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Hungary: A Simplified DSGE Simulation," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 72(2), pages 97-111.
  • Handle: RePEc:pfq:journl:v:72:y:2026:i:2:p:97-111
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2026_2_4
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    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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