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The Risk Premium on Italian Government Debt, 1976-88

Author

Listed:
  • Carlo Cottarelli

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Mauro Mecagni

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

The behavior of the yield differential between government and nongovernment bonds in Italy between 1976 and 1988 is considered. The trend increase of the differential in this period was significantly influenced by the deterioration of public finances, as reflected both by an increase in the supply of government paper relative to nongovernment paper and by a worsening of selected default-risk indicators. The effect of relative supply factors, in turn, was found to be statistically more robust and quantitatively more important than that of risk indicators in explaining movements in yield differentials.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlo Cottarelli & Mauro Mecagni, 1990. "The Risk Premium on Italian Government Debt, 1976-88," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 37(4), pages 865-880, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:37:y:1990:i:4:p:865-880
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    2. Viol, Andrea Lemgruber, 2002. "Renúncia tributária no Brasil," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34878, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    3. -, 2002. "XIV Seminario Regional de Política Fiscal: compendio de documentos," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34866, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    4. Mello, Luiz R. de, 2002. "Fiscal decentralization and borrowing costs: the case of local governments," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34881, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    5. Kamhon Kan, 1998. "Credit spreads on government bonds," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 301-313.
    6. Figueroa, Ramón, 2002. "Los avances y potencialidades de los sistemas integrados de administración financiera del sector público," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34879, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    7. Vlenadia, Antonio, 2002. "A risk quantification model for public debt management," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34867, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. Rozenwurcel, Guillermo, 2002. "Política cuasi-fiscal: garantías públicas y manejo de pasivos contingentes," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34870, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    9. Ganame, María Cecilia & Rezk, Ernesto & Rodas, Lucrecia, 2002. "Financiamiento municipal y sistemas tributarios municipales en Bolivia, Paraguay y Guatemala," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34880, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    10. Allan, William & Craig, Jon, 2002. "Fiscal transparency, tax expenditures, and processes: an international perspective," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34874, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    11. Hussein, Khaled A & Mello, Luiz R. de, 2002. "Is foreign debt portfolio management efficient in emerging economies?: emphasis on Latin America," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34868, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    12. Clavijo Vergara, Sergio, 2002. "Viabilidad de la deuda externa colombiana," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34869, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    13. Cardona Bermeo, Jorge Enrique, 2002. "Manejo de pasivos contingentes en el marco de la disciplina fiscal en Colombia," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34872, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    14. Simonit, Silvia, 2002. "Los gastos tributarios y las renuncias tributarias en América Latina," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34873, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    15. André Soares Loureiro & Fernando de Holanda Barbosa, 2004. "Risk Premia for Emerging Markets Bonds: Evidence from Brazilian Government Debt, 1996-2002," Working Papers Series 85, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Currie, Elizabeth, 2002. "The potential role of government debt management office in monitoring and managing contingent liabilities," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34871, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    17. Nazareth, Paula Alexandra & Porto, Luiz Fernando Lopes, 2002. "As finanças dos municípios brasileiros: o caso do Rio de Janeiro," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34882, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    18. Lucca, Carlos, 2002. "Mecanismos no tradicionales de financiamiento de obras de infraestructura y equipamiento en municipios," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34883, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).

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