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Filling the Gap – An International Comparison of the Cyclical Adjustment of Budget Balances

Listed author(s):
  • Gábor P Kiss


    (Economics Department, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, H-1850, Szabadság tér 8/9, Budapest, Hungary.)

  • Gábor Vadas


    ([1] Economics Department, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, H-1850, Szabadság tér 8/9, Budapest, Hungary. [2] Department of Economics, Central European University, H-1051, Nador 9, Budapest, Hungary.)

The assessment of the direction of fiscal policy is both important and controversial. Because budgets are influenced by business cycles, disentangling the underlying fiscal position from the effect of the business cycle is difficult. The two main methods used by international institutions to determine this cyclical factor arguably do not fulfill the necessary requirements for obtaining correct results. This paper introduces an alternative disaggregated methodology which is not only able to incorporate theoretical considerations, but is also easily computable. To provide an empirical underpinning, we apply these methodologies to several countries. Comparative Economic Studies (2007) 49, 259–284. doi:10.1057/palgrave.ces.8100200

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Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan & Association for Comparative Economic Studies in its journal Comparative Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 49 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 259-284

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Handle: RePEc:pal:compes:v:49:y:2007:i:2:p:259-284
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