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Seasonality in the Asia Pacific stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Noor Azuddin Yakob

    (School of Business Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia)

  • Diana Beal
  • Sarath Delpachitra

Abstract

This paper examines the issue of stock market seasonality in the Asia Pacific stock market. Using the most recent set of data, the paper employs the GARCH(1,1) and GARCH(1,1)-M models to study the day-of-the-week, month-of-the-year, monthly and holiday effects in ten Asia Pacific countries, namely Australia, China, Hong Kong, Japan, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan. Overall, evidence to support the presence of day-of-the-week effect is documented in five countries, month-of-the-year effect is detected in eight countries, monthly effect is reported in six countries and holiday effect is found in four countries. In most cases, the calendar effects cannot be associated with conditional risk. This study shows that stock market seasonality is a global phenomenon, and it continues to persist today. Although the presence of seasonality implies a lack of informational efficiency in the respective stock market, this study does not refute the validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, as the presence of significant returns is not tantamount to abnormal profits. Further studies are necessary to ensure that stock market seasonality can yield significant returns in excess of transaction costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Noor Azuddin Yakob & Diana Beal & Sarath Delpachitra, 2005. "Seasonality in the Asia Pacific stock markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(4), pages 298-318, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:6:y:2005:i:4:d:10.1057_palgrave.jam.2240183
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jam.2240183
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tian Yuan & Rakesh Gupta & Robert J. Bianchi, 2015. "The Pre-Holiday Effect in China: Abnormal Returns or Compensation for Risk?," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(03), pages 1-28.
    2. Paul McGuinness & Richard Harris, 2011. "Comparison of the 'turn-of-the-month' and lunar new year return effects in three Chinese markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(13), pages 917-929.
    3. Wong Pik Har & Lim Wei Chih, 2016. "Effects of Holidays on the Malaysian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(2), pages 274-274, January.
    4. Zhuo Qiao & Keith Lam, 2011. "Granger causal relations among Greater China stock markets: a nonlinear perspective," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(19), pages 1437-1450.
    5. Andreas Andrikopoulos & Aristeidis Samitas & Konstantinos Kougepsakis, 2014. "Volatility transmission across currencies and stock markets: GIIPS in crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(19), pages 1261-1283, October.

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